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What climate change is expected in the future

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Tuesday, 15 April 2008

To predict future climate, a number of scenarios emitting greenhouse gases have been developed and incorporated into climate models (More. ..).  Without significant change particular, they foresee for the next century:  * An increase in average global temperature of between 1.4 and 5.8 ° C.  * A further reduction in the ice sheet in the northern hemisphere while the Antarctica is expected to increase.  * A rise in sea level of between 9 and 88 cm.  * Other climate change such as increased incidence of some extreme weather events.  According to some forecasts, climate change man will continue during 2100 even after many centuries. Rising sea level is expected to continue for another millennia after stabilizing the climate.  Climate change at the regional level, particularly increases in temperature, already have some impact on physical and biological systems.The natural and human systems are vulnerable to climate change because of their limited ability to adapt. This vulnerability varies by geographic location, the time and considered the social, economic and environmental. Some extreme weather events are expected to increase in frequency and / or intensity because of global warming, as well as their impact: loss of life, suffering and damage. The potential impact on a large scale, perhaps irreversible, risk that have not yet been assessed in a reliable way, the probability is very low but it is expected to increase with the pace, scope and duration of climate change.   The man must adapt and cope with the consequences of climate change that can not be avoided. One can expect economic losses, especially in the poorest regions. The magnitude of these losses will depend on the warming. Encourage adaptation to climate change and contribute to sustainable development and equity can be mutually reinforcing.

Last Updated ( Thursday, 03 July 2008 )

 

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